RBI Projects Steady Remittance Inflows Amid West Asia Conflict
Remittance slowdown unlikely despite West Asia conflict: RBI DG Gupta
Business Standard
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Despite ongoing conflicts in West Asia, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta predicts that remittances to India will remain stable. The demand for migrant workers is expected to rise, which could bolster inflows, even as the share from Gulf countries declines.
- 01RBI anticipates stable remittance inflows despite West Asia conflict.
- 02Demand for migrant workers in the region is expected to increase.
- 03US has become the largest source of remittances for India, surpassing Gulf countries.
- 04In FY26, remittances from abroad have already exceeded $107 billion.
- 05The overall remittance inflow is projected to remain unaffected despite shifts in regional contributions.
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Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta stated that remittances to India from West Asia are unlikely to decline due to rising demand for migrant workers in the region. Gupta emphasized that the diversity in the origins of remittances and the skill composition of migrants—ranging from low to high-skilled workers—will contribute positively to inflows. The RBI's data indicates that remittances from Indians living abroad reached over $107 billion in FY26 so far, following a record high of more than $132 billion in FY25. While the share of remittances from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries has decreased to 33.8%, the US has emerged as the largest source, accounting for 27.7% of total remittances. Economists believe that while the share from GCC countries may decline over time, it will not significantly impact the overall remittance inflows, which remain crucial for India's economy.
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Stable remittance inflows are vital for many Indian households relying on this income for daily expenses and investments.
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