Crisil Warns of Potential Decline in India’s Remittances Due to West Asia Conflict
Crisil warns of potential hit to India remittances amid West Asia conflict
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
Crisil Ratings has warned that the ongoing conflict in West Asia could negatively affect India's remittance inflows, which heavily rely on Gulf Cooperation Council countries. With over $135 billion in remittances expected in FY25, any dip in diaspora incomes could worsen India's current account deficit, already strained by trade challenges.
- 01One-third of India's remittance inflows come from Gulf Cooperation Council countries.
- 02India received over $135 billion in remittances in FY25.
- 03Current account deficit may worsen due to reduced incomes from the diaspora.
- 04India's exports to West Asia are facing logistical challenges and supply chain disruptions.
- 05An 8-9% rise in crude prices could increase India's import bill.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
Crisil Ratings has highlighted concerns regarding India's remittance flow due to the ongoing conflict in West Asia, which significantly impacts the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries that account for one-third of these inflows. India, being the largest recipient of remittances globally, received over $135 billion in FY25. The agency noted that a decline in the incomes of the Indian diaspora could adversely affect the country's current account deficit (CAD), particularly as the trade deficit is already under pressure. Additionally, India's export growth may be hindered by disruptions in global trade stemming from the conflict and slower global economic growth, although lower US tariffs may provide some relief. Crisil anticipates an 8-9% year-on-year increase in crude oil prices, which could further inflate India's import costs. The report also indicates that exports to West Asia, valued at $57 billion (13% of total goods exports), are facing challenges due to logistical issues and supply chain realignments.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
If remittances decline, families relying on these funds may face financial difficulties, impacting their consumption and investment capabilities.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
Reader Poll
How concerned are you about the impact of the West Asia conflict on India's economy?
Connecting to poll...
Read the original article
Visit the source for the complete story.


