Cement Companies Anticipate Strong Q4 Growth Amid Rising Costs
Cement firms to post strong Q4 volumes, but costs may weigh on margins
Business Standard
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Top cement firms in India are projected to achieve a 10% year-on-year revenue growth in Q4 FY26, driven by increased construction activity. However, profitability may decline by 1% due to rising fuel and packaging costs, influenced by geopolitical tensions in West Asia.
- 01Cement volumes expected to rise 9% to 126 million tonnes in Q4 FY26.
- 02Revenue growth projected at 10% year-on-year, with a 1% decline in profit after tax.
- 03Rising fuel and packaging costs could impact profitability significantly in upcoming quarters.
- 04Major players like UltraTech Cement and Shree Cement expected to report double-digit volume growth.
- 05Price hikes of Rs 15-30 per bag initiated in April 2026 to counteract rising costs.
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Leading cement companies in India are set to report robust volume growth in the March quarter of FY26, with an estimated 9% increase in aggregate cement volumes to 126 million tonnes. Analysts predict a 10% year-on-year growth in revenue, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (Ebitda) may rise by 4%. However, profit after tax (PAT) is expected to decline by 1% due to increased costs stemming from geopolitical disruptions in West Asia, which have driven up fuel and packaging expenses. Analysts at Motilal Oswal Financial Services indicate that the average Ebitda margin is likely to contract by 1.2 percentage points to around 18%. Despite these challenges, major firms like UltraTech Cement and Shree Cement are anticipated to outperform the industry average, reporting double-digit growth. To mitigate rising costs, companies have already begun implementing price hikes of Rs 15-30 per bag as they prepare for potential profitability pressures in the upcoming quarters.
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The rising costs of cement production could lead to increased prices for consumers, affecting homebuyers and construction projects.
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