Indian Rupee Expected to Stabilize Between 92-93 Against US Dollar, Says EAC-PM Chairman
Rupee to stabilise at 92-93 as inflows improve, says EAC-PM chairman
Business Standard
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S Mahendra Dev, chairman of the Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister of India, predicts that the Indian Rupee will stabilize between 92-93 against the US dollar due to improved foreign investment inflows and easing geopolitical tensions. He expresses optimism for India's economic growth, projecting a potential growth rate of 7% by 2026-27.
- 01Indian Rupee expected to stabilize at 92-93 against the US dollar.
- 02Improved foreign investment inflows anticipated as geopolitical tensions ease.
- 03Current account deficit projected to rise to 2% of GDP from 1.3%.
- 04EAC-PM chairman optimistic about achieving 6.9% to 7% growth by 2026-27.
- 05India's macroeconomic fundamentals are strong, allowing for continued infrastructure spending.
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S Mahendra Dev, the chairman of the Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister (EAC-PM) of India, stated that the Indian Rupee is expected to stabilize between 92-93 against the US dollar. This forecast is based on anticipated improvements in foreign investment inflows as geopolitical tensions, particularly between the United States and Iran, ease. The Rupee had recently faced pressure, crossing 95 against the dollar due to global uncertainties and withdrawals by foreign institutional investors (FIIs). Dev emphasized India's strong economic resilience and sound macroeconomic fundamentals, which he believes will help absorb external shocks. He noted that the current account deficit could rise to 2% of GDP from the current 1.3%, but this is not a major concern. Furthermore, he expressed optimism about India's growth prospects, projecting a growth rate of 6.9% to 7% by 2026-27, supported by ongoing economic reforms and infrastructure investments. Dev described the Reserve Bank of India's decision to maintain policy rates as appropriate given the current economic climate.
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The stabilization of the Rupee may lead to more predictable exchange rates, benefiting businesses and consumers engaged in international trade. Improved foreign investment could enhance job creation and infrastructure development in India.
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