Emerging Markets: Opportunities Amid Global Turmoil
The case for investing in emerging markets
Mint
Image: Mint
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has increased oil prices and created volatility in global markets, impacting emerging markets that had recently outperformed developed ones. Despite this, emerging markets remain attractively priced, trading at a 40% discount compared to developed markets, with portfolio managers suggesting opportunities in regions like Latin America and Turkey.
- 01Emerging markets outperformed developed markets in 2025, with a 34% increase in the MSCI Emerging Markets index.
- 02Emerging markets are trading at a 40% discount compared to developed markets on a forward price-to-earnings basis.
- 03Brazil, Mexico, Peru, and Turkey are highlighted as key investment opportunities due to favorable economic conditions.
- 04High real interest rates and falling inflation in emerging markets may lead to economic acceleration.
- 05Investors are advised to be selective and mindful of currency risks in emerging markets.
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The ongoing war in the Middle East has driven up oil prices and increased volatility in global financial markets, affecting emerging markets that had recently shown strong performance. In 2025, emerging markets outperformed developed markets for the first time since 2017, with the MSCI Emerging Markets index rising 34%. However, this momentum has shifted back towards developed markets as investors seek safety amidst geopolitical tensions. Despite this, emerging markets are still trading at a 40% discount compared to their developed counterparts, presenting potential opportunities for investors. Portfolio managers from firms like Vanguard, VanEck, and BlackRock point to improving economic fundamentals and decreasing interest rates as factors that could favor emerging markets. They highlight Brazil, Mexico, Peru, and Turkey as attractive options, particularly due to their exposure to commodities and favorable interest rate cycles. Brazil's stock market has surged 74% since its 2024 lows, while Turkey's economic growth and low debt levels are seen as strengths. Additionally, less-followed markets such as Pakistan, Kenya, and Egypt are expected to benefit from declining inflation and high real interest rates. Investors are encouraged to focus on countries with improving fundamentals while remaining cautious of currency risks and the potential for prolonged geopolitical instability.
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Investing in emerging markets could provide higher returns for investors looking to diversify their portfolios, especially as economic conditions improve in these regions.
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