S&P Global Ratings Warns High Oil Prices Could Impact India's Economic Growth
High oil prices may hit India’s growth, but strong fundamentals offer a cushion: S&P
livemint
Image: livemint
S&P Global Ratings indicates that while India's strong fundamentals may mitigate the impact of rising oil prices, sustained high energy costs could hinder economic growth. If oil averages $130 per barrel in 2026, growth may slow by up to 80 basis points in FY27, affecting corporate profitability and banking asset quality.
- 01S&P Global Ratings projects that high oil prices could slow India's economic growth by up to 80 basis points in FY27.
- 02Corporate profitability may decline by 15-25% due to elevated oil prices.
- 03The banking sector's asset quality could worsen, with weak loans potentially rising to 3.5%.
- 04Despite risks, S&P expects no immediate impact on India's sovereign, corporate, or banking ratings.
- 05The government’s fiscal consolidation efforts may face temporary challenges due to high energy costs.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
S&P Global Ratings has highlighted that India's robust domestic fundamentals and potential government support could cushion the economy against the impact of rising crude oil prices, primarily driven by conflicts in West Asia. However, the agency warns that if oil prices average $130 per barrel in 2026, India's economic growth could decelerate by up to 80 basis points in FY27. Additionally, corporate profitability is expected to decline by 15-25%, and the banking sector may see asset quality deteriorate, with weak loans potentially rising to 3.5%. Despite these challenges, S&P does not foresee an immediate impact on India's sovereign or corporate ratings, although the government's fiscal consolidation efforts could be temporarily hindered. S&P's scenario analysis assumes that Brent oil prices will average $130 in 2026 and $100 in 2027, significantly higher than its base case projections. The agency is closely monitoring the geopolitical situation and its effects on India's economic momentum.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
High oil prices could lead to increased costs for consumers and businesses in India, potentially affecting economic growth and corporate earnings.
Advertisement
In-Article Ad
Reader Poll
How concerned are you about the impact of high oil prices on India's economy?
Connecting to poll...
Read the original article
Visit the source for the complete story.