RBI Governor Projects Sustained Growth in Private Sector Investment
Revival in private sector investment is expected to sustain, says RBI governor
Business Standard
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Reserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra forecasts sustained growth in private sector investment, driven by strong domestic consumption and infrastructure spending. Real GDP growth for 2026-27 is projected at 6.9%, with urban consumption bolstered by GST reforms and a robust services sector, despite potential external challenges.
- 01Private sector investment is expected to sustain due to strong credit growth and high-capacity utilization.
- 02Real GDP growth for 2026-27 is projected at 6.9%.
- 03Urban consumption is likely to strengthen, supported by GST rationalization.
- 04Rural demand remains robust, aided by favorable agricultural conditions.
- 05Merchandise exports may face challenges but could benefit from recent trade agreements.
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In the latest monetary policy report, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Sanjay Malhotra highlighted that private sector investment is anticipated to continue its revival, supported by strong domestic consumption and infrastructure spending. The report projects real GDP growth for 2026-27 at 6.9%, with quarterly growth rates of 6.8% in Q1, 6.7% in Q2, 7.0% in Q3, and 7.2% in Q4. Urban consumption is expected to strengthen due to the positive effects of Goods and Services Tax (GST) rationalization and a thriving services sector. Meanwhile, rural demand remains robust, bolstered by favorable agricultural conditions and a healthy labor market. However, challenges such as disruptions to shipping routes, increased freight costs, and lower global demand due to ongoing conflicts may impact merchandise exports. Despite these challenges, recent trade agreements may provide a boost to exports, particularly in services. The outlook remains cautious, considering potential escalations in global conflicts and volatility in financial markets, which could weigh on domestic growth prospects.
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The sustained growth in private sector investment and urban consumption could lead to increased job opportunities and improved economic conditions for households.
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