Antique Stock Broking Initiates 'Buy' Rating for Shriram Finance, Projects 28% Upside
Antique initiates coverage on Shriram Finance with 'Buy', sees 28% upside
Business StandardImage: Business Standard
Antique Stock Broking has initiated coverage on Shriram Finance, a non-banking financial company in India, with a 'Buy' rating, anticipating a 28% upside from its current price of ₹900.55. The firm cites strong growth potential, improved margins, and stable asset quality as key factors behind its optimistic outlook.
- 01Antique Stock Broking projects Shriram Finance's assets under management (AUM) and profit after tax (PAT) to grow at 18% CAGR from FY26 to FY28.
- 02The brokerage has set a 12-month target price of ₹1,150, indicating a potential upside of nearly 28%.
- 03Shriram Finance's net interest margins have improved to 9-9.5% post-merger, up from 7-7.5%.
- 04The company has received a $4.4 billion capital infusion from MUFG, expected to lower funding costs by 100 bps.
- 05Despite risks from geopolitical tensions and economic slowdown, Shriram Finance maintains strong asset quality with a 5.9% expected credit loss cover.
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Antique Stock Broking has initiated coverage on Shriram Finance, a prominent non-banking financial company in India, with a 'Buy' rating. The brokerage expects the company to achieve an 18% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in both assets under management (AUM) and profit after tax (PAT) over the period from FY26 to FY28. The target price has been set at ₹1,150, which reflects a potential upside of nearly 28% from the current closing price of ₹900.55. Shares of Shriram Finance were trading lower at ₹869.50, down 3.45% at the time of reporting. The company has established a diversified lending portfolio, with a significant focus on commercial vehicle financing, which constitutes 46% of its AUM. The recent capital infusion of $4.4 billion from MUFG is expected to enhance its funding capabilities and lower costs, which will further support margin expansion. Shriram Finance's net interest margins have stabilized at 9-9.5%, an improvement from previous levels. Despite facing challenges such as high fuel prices and geopolitical uncertainties, the company maintains a robust asset quality profile with a 5.9% expected credit loss cover, positioning it well against potential market risks.
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The positive outlook for Shriram Finance could lead to more competitive lending rates, benefiting borrowers in the commercial vehicle and MSME sectors. This may enhance access to financing for businesses and consumers in India.
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