US intelligence reports suggest that Iran is unlikely to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in the near future, as its control over this critical maritime corridor serves as significant leverage against the United States. The Strait of Hormuz is responsible for transporting approximately one-fifth of global oil trade, making any disruption a substantial risk to international energy markets. President Donald Trump has publicly downplayed the challenges of restoring traffic through the strait, asserting that with time, it can be reopened. However, analysts warn that military intervention could lead to prolonged conflict and high costs. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has employed various tactics, including attacks on civilian vessels and deploying naval mines, to make commercial transit risky. These actions have contributed to rising oil prices and fuel shortages in dependent countries, potentially driving inflation in the US as mid-term elections approach. Experts note that any military operation to reopen the strait would face significant risks due to its narrow geography, making vessels vulnerable to attacks. Iran is likely to maintain its influence over the strait to secure long-term financial benefits and deterrence in negotiations with the US.