Axis Bank's Neelkanth Mishra Warns of Recurring Geopolitical Shocks in India
Calm before storm? Axis Bank's Neelkanth Mishra says India must brace for geopolitical shocks every 1–2 years
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
Neelkanth Mishra, Chief Economist at Axis Bank, cautions that India should prepare for geopolitical disruptions every 1-2 years due to ongoing global conflicts, particularly between the U.S. and China. He emphasizes the need for resilience and strategic reforms in energy and infrastructure to mitigate impacts on the economy.
- 01Geopolitical disruptions are expected every 1-2 years, according to Neelkanth Mishra.
- 02India is better prepared to handle global stress compared to previous decades.
- 03Strategic reforms in electrification and tourism are essential for economic resilience.
- 04Mishra warns against complacency despite temporary ceasefires in global conflicts.
- 05Billionaire investor Ray Dalio echoes concerns about a prolonged world war scenario.
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Neelkanth Mishra, Chief Economist at Axis Bank, has warned that India must brace for geopolitical shocks every 1-2 years, particularly due to the ongoing tensions between the United States and China. Speaking at Kotak Private Banking's Take and Counter Take (TACT) event, he highlighted that while recent ceasefire hopes in the Middle East have temporarily boosted market sentiment, they could merely represent a calm before future storms. Mishra emphasized that the broader cycle of geopolitical conflicts is unlikely to end soon. He noted that wars have significant secondary effects on global supply chains, impacting sectors such as energy, chemicals, and logistics. He stressed the importance of building resilience in the Indian economy and urged for reforms in electrification and tourism to lower vulnerability to such shocks. Mishra believes that India is now better equipped to handle these challenges compared to historical periods of global stress. He concluded by stating that while the current geopolitical climate is painful, it presents a unique opportunity for reform that should not be missed. Billionaire investor Ray Dalio has also expressed concerns about ongoing conflicts, suggesting that we may be in the early stages of a new world war that could last longer than anticipated.
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The recurring geopolitical shocks could lead to increased prices and disruptions in essential services, impacting everyday consumers in India.
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