US Prediction Markets Target Indian IPL Fans Amid Legal Uncertainties
US prediction market players make a play for Indian IPL fans
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
US-based prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi are gaining traction among Indian Premier League (IPL) fans, allowing bets on match outcomes and player performances. However, the legality of these platforms in India remains ambiguous, particularly following the country's ban on real-money gaming.
- 01Polymarket and Kalshi allow betting on IPL match outcomes and player performances.
- 02This IPL season marks the first since India banned real-money gaming.
- 03Mumbai Indians are favored to win the 2026 IPL title with a 26% probability.
- 04Legal concerns exist regarding offshore betting platforms operating in India.
- 05Users often navigate payment restrictions through peer-to-peer methods.
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US-based prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi are emerging as popular betting options for fans of the Indian Premier League (IPL), enabling users to wager on match winners and player performances. This IPL season is significant as it is the first since India implemented a ban on real-money gaming (RMG), which previously benefited local firms like Dream11. Polymarket, valued at $9 billion, allows users to bet on various real-world events, including sports, while raising concerns about legality in India. Despite the ban, offshore RMG platforms such as Parimatch and 1XBet continue to target Indian users, leveraging digital marketing strategies. Notably, in a market on Polymarket, the Mumbai Indians are currently seen as the frontrunners for the 2026 IPL title with a 26% implied probability. However, experts caution that engaging with these platforms poses legal risks, as they operate offshore and use cryptocurrencies for transactions, which complicates compliance with Indian laws. The central government has introduced the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act (PROGA) to regulate online gaming, but offshore platforms like Polymarket remain outside Indian jurisdiction, leading to a complex legal landscape for potential users.
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The rise of offshore prediction markets could lead to increased gambling activities among IPL fans, despite legal risks.
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