Non-Banking Finance Companies Show Growth Amid Challenges from Iran Conflict
NBFCs doing well, but Iran war, margins cloud road ahead
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
Non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) in India are projected to achieve a 15%-18% growth in the fourth quarter, driven by strong consumer demand. However, rising funding costs and potential asset-quality pressures linked to the Iran war could impact net interest margins, with analysts closely monitoring developments.
- 01NBFCs expect 15%-18% growth in Q4, fueled by consumer demand.
- 02Net interest margins (NIMs) may be nearing their peak due to rising funding costs.
- 03The Iran war could affect asset quality, particularly in sectors like unsecured loans.
- 04Bajaj Finance reported a 22% year-on-year increase in assets under management.
- 05Analysts predict challenges for NBFCs in the coming quarters due to rising costs and potential sector stress.
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Non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) in India are anticipated to report a robust 15%-18% growth in the fourth quarter, primarily driven by strong consumer demand. However, analysts caution that rising funding costs could mean net interest margins (NIMs) are nearing their peak. The ongoing conflict in Iran is expected to exert pressure on asset quality, particularly affecting sectors reliant on unsecured loans, such as restaurants and tile-making companies. Analysts from IIFL Capital, including Viral Shah, Shalin Kapadia, and Priyanshu Ahuja, predict a potential end to the cost of funds reduction cycle, with NIMs expected to diverge across various NBFCs. For instance, PNB Housing Finance and Bajaj Housing Finance may see a 5-10 basis points quarter-on-quarter decline, while Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services could experience a 20-30 basis points decline. Notably, Bajaj Finance reported a 22% year-on-year increase in assets under management, reaching ₹5.10 lakh crore (approximately $60 billion USD). Despite the uncertainties stemming from the Iran conflict, the immediate impact on NBFC growth appears limited. However, analysts emphasize the importance of monitoring commentary from these lenders regarding growth, asset quality, and the rising cost of funds in the upcoming quarters.
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The growth of NBFCs could lead to increased access to credit for consumers and businesses, but rising costs may affect loan affordability and availability.
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