Nifty 50 Companies Expected to See Profit Decline in Q4, but Growth Forecast for FY27
Nifty aggregate profit to fall in Q4 but expect a better FY27
The Economic TimesImage: The Economic Times
The aggregate net profit of Nifty 50 companies is projected to decline by 1.1% year-on-year for the March 2026 quarter, influenced by one-time gains from the previous year and lower profits in banking, pharma, and IT sectors. However, analysts predict a recovery with 12% earnings growth for FY27, driven by stabilizing global demand and capital expenditure momentum.
- 01Nifty 50 companies' net profit expected to fall 1.1% in Q4 FY26.
- 02Revenue growth projected at 8.3% year-on-year for the same quarter.
- 03Operating margins likely to contract by 70 basis points to 22.2%.
- 04Analysts predict 12% earnings growth for FY27, following a consolidation year.
- 05Sectors like automobiles and banking expected to perform better than IT and pharma.
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In the March 2026 quarter, the aggregate net profit of Nifty 50 companies is projected to decline by 1.1% year-on-year, primarily due to one-time gains reported in the previous year and reduced profits from select banking, pharmaceutical, and IT companies. Revenue is anticipated to grow by 8.3%, a decrease from the 9-10% growth range seen in the previous quarters. Shweta Rajani, associate director at Anand Rathi Wealth, indicated that geopolitical tensions in West Asia and rising commodity prices are contributing to operational challenges, affecting profitability across various sectors including consumption and manufacturing. The operating margin is expected to contract by 70 basis points to 22.2%. Despite the expected dip in Q4 earnings, analysts foresee a recovery in FY27, estimating a 12% earnings growth for Nifty 50 companies, up from an estimated 4-6% growth in FY26. This optimism is based on anticipated stabilization in global demand and an uptick in capital expenditure. Gautam Duggad from Motilal Oswal Financial Services supports this outlook, predicting over 13% annualized earnings growth for companies under their coverage over FY25-27.
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The decline in profits may affect investor sentiment and stock performance, potentially impacting employment and investment in the affected sectors.
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